Barclays Capital提出了光伏市場(chǎng)需求預(yù)測(cè)，到2010年將超過(guò)12GW

繼Barclays Capital全球光伏預(yù)測(cè)數(shù)字公布之后，預(yù)計(jì)市場(chǎng)需求強(qiáng)勁勢(shì)頭將會(huì)持續(xù)到2010年下半年。 與德國(guó)，意大利和捷克共和國(guó)安裝量預(yù)計(jì)將明顯比前一年高，Barclays Capital預(yù)計(jì)有12.2GW的安裝量，現(xiàn)在比以前樂(lè)觀預(yù)測(cè)的11GW安裝數(shù)還要高。

不過(guò)，Barclays Capital并不認(rèn)為在2011年大幅增長(zhǎng)，部分原因是由于入網(wǎng)關(guān)稅的影響過(guò)熱的歐洲市場(chǎng)。 但是，它已經(jīng)對(duì)對(duì)美國(guó)的明年的預(yù)測(cè)進(jìn)行修訂并提高。Barclays Capital預(yù)計(jì)，在2011年美國(guó)市場(chǎng)會(huì)達(dá)到2GW，相比于此前1.75GW的預(yù)期。

在2011年，西班牙與之前預(yù)期產(chǎn)生落差最大，投資銀行公布的只有72MW正在安裝，低于其先前預(yù)測(cè)的540MW。

Strong market demand that is expected to continue through the second half of 2010 is behind a revision of Barclays Capital global PV demand forecast. With Germany, Italy, and the Czech Republic installation figures expected to be significantly higher than the previous year, Barclays Capital now expects 12.2GW installed compared to its previous upbeat forecast of 11GW.

However, Barclays Capital does not see significant growth in 2011, due in part to the impact of feed-in tariff changes in the hot European markets. However, it has revised upwards its forecast for the U.S. next year.  Barclays Capital expects the U.S. market to top 2GW in 2011, up from 1.75GW previously forecasted.

The biggest expected decline in 2011 is Spain, with the investment bank forecasting only 72MW being installed, down from its previous forecast of 540MW.